Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2464.455996 2674.071287 2887.150481 3119.656720 3365.907834 3618.641936 3897.326243
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2136.128968 2447.349248 2776.225755 3148.466422 3556.878515 3990.151218 4483.342479
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1907.958302 2277.262691 2678.940325 3145.854862 3671.192850 4241.552599 4905.107367
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1771.981230 2188.084025 2651.529144 3201.976960 3833.833284 4532.408926 5358.976790
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1616.632463 2060.962971 2566.897571 3179.808628 3896.241934 4701.290427 5668.179950
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1535.985795 2012.683517 2565.813244 3247.168270 4055.741637 4976.580539 6096.129579
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1441.236566 1939.721967 2528.784369 3266.063162 4153.608611 5177.155096 6435.785342
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1349.706922 1864.105474 2482.714633 3268.783853 4227.876326 5346.951125 6737.577203
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1219.879894 1732.794445 2361.389263 3173.154171 4177.772833 5364.423136 6855.209753
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1195.454685 1733.594316 2402.290196 3276.007925 4368.390351 5670.029034 7317.967247
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1157.128130 1713.591562 2414.772931 3341.724519 4512.468109 5919.555787 7714.565436
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1092.102182 1654.678209 2374.356163 3337.792826 4567.827212 6059.726895 7978.194039
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1016.132368 1578.400190 2309.554595 3301.643473 4582.898394 6151.984803 8186.717272
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 971.809283 1543.128241 2296.805455 3331.521827 4681.149534 6347.694877 8524.333974
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 918.476323 1492.392191 2260.893996 3328.799085 4735.927037 6488.152237 8793.333042
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 891.589066 1477.454721 2271.976662 3387.342153 4869.538844 6728.202802 9188.118839
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 837.661310 1420.849615 2223.675828 3364.218829 4894.913331 6829.986640 9408.768177
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 819.379136 1415.190389 2244.916905 3434.475070 5042.975054 7088.882707 9829.568784
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 785.529554 1384.685709 2229.955278 3454.179721 5123.376968 7260.857402 10140.603009
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 748.404820 1347.388616 2203.763056 3457.016912 5180.278694 7402.075701 10412.650492
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 682.268235 1262.359180 2106.080349 3357.277374 5096.197981 7357.496982 10443.720600
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 681.310343 1278.740976 2155.475508 3464.550198 5293.916661 7683.275965 10956.233114
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 669.225637 1276.818778 2177.603496 3533.071759 5439.054375 7940.799778 11381.823586